22. NAVY
2023 record: 13-6 (6-3 Patriot League)
Last seen: Taking Army to the brink in a Patriot League semifinal before falling 12-11 and missing the NCAA tournament for the third straight season.
Initial forecast: Navy’s had quite a bit to contend with the past few seasons as Loyola has continued its dominance, Army has emerged as a viable contender and the transfer portal — which service academies cannot dip into — have drastically fortified rosters across the country. Instead, Cindy Timchal has had to focus on homegrown talent, so to speak.
She found Navy’s next big star in 2023, with plebe Avan Yovino of Parkland, Fla., producing 42 goals and 50 assists in her first year. Yovino is obviously back, as are Navy’s next three producers from 2023 — Emily Messinese (49 G, 12 A), Leelee Denton (40 G, 5 A) and Maggie DeFabio (33 G, 12 A). In all likelihood, offense won’t be much of an issue in Annapolis.
Defense is something of a question. Of Navy’s eight-woman senior class from a year ago, five were defenders. Athena Corroon was a captain who started all 19 games, and others like Gabby Lavin and Erin Carson will leave voids on that end of the field. Katie Golbranson, a former walk-on who has emerged as a three-year starter and new captain for 2024, will help.
For Navy to get back to its pre-COVID success, the Mids will have to solve their struggles against Army and pick up a signature win or two in non-conference play.
21. DUKE
2023 record: 8-10 (1-8 ACC)
Last seen: Ending a disappointing season with a 15-9 loss to Boston College in the second round of the ACC tournament.
Initial forecast: By all accounts, 2023 was a major disappointment in Durham and one met with challenge after challenge to overcome. Injuries were a nightmare, creating to inconsistencies in the gameday lineup that both took talent out of the rotation and made it difficult for healthy players to maintain chemistry.
Health alone should help Duke improve in 2024. Olivia Carner was in and out of the lineup last spring, and her presence will be a boon alongside Katie DeSimone (48 G, 18 A), Carly Bernstein (20 G, 15 A), Caroline DeBellis (21 G, 21 A) and Lexi Schmalz (30 G, 4 A). But who gets them the ball will be a different problem, as history-making specialist Maddie Jenner has graduated. Head coach Kerstin Kimel says she has players ready to assume control of the position.
Duke’s next biggest question comes in the cage, where Sophia LeRose has graduated and Kennedy Everson is coming off a 2023 season in which she was inactive due to injury. If she’s healthy, it looks like Everson will be in the running for big minutes. She saw action in 13 games in 2022.
Duke loses a considerable bit of depth to graduation, but Kimel welcomes in seven transfers to bolster the roster in Reilly Hogan (Georgetown), Grace Hulslander (Harvard), Courtney Kaufman (Tufts), Maggie McCarthy (Harvard), Delaney Ott (Georgia Club), Adele Swanson (Columbia) and Margaret Anne Warner (Davidson).