Over the next few weeks, US Lacrosse Magazine will run virtual NCAA tournaments with fans helping to choose the winners of each matchup. Follow @uslacrossemag on Twitter to participate in the daily polling, which begins Monday. You can find the rules here.
What if? This is our attempt at projecting what a bracket might have looked like come May.
North Carolina was the unanimous No. 1 for everyone and the odds-on favorite to capture a title. Strong contenders to crash Championship Weekend would have been ACC contender Notre Dame and Patriot League favorite Loyola, while Syracuse and Stony Brook were poised to knock on that door as well.
It’s quite unlikely that seven ACC teams would make the NCAA tournament. Normally, those teams beat each other up and someone gets left out. Nevertheless, with the limited evidence we have, seven ACC teams make it with perennial bubble team Duke the second-to-last team in after being the first team out last year.
Given the lack of games (60 percent of regular-season matchups were canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic), some RPI numbers are askew. For example, North Carolina’s RPI is No. 5 and Notre Dame’s is No. 8. Everyone recognizes those teams as two of the top three in the country, with Loyola in that conversation, too.
It’s a fun exercise, one that will create some discussion and leave us wondering ‘what if?’
Note: RPI rankings based on 40 percent of the season being completed. There are 15 automatic qualifiers, which will necessitate two play-in games for the final 26-team field. The four lowest rated teams will be paired in the play-in games, slotted to travel to the Nos. 7 and 8 seeds.
AUTOMATIC QUALIFIERS (15)
Team |
RPI |
SOS |
Loyola |
1 |
1 |
USC |
3 |
16 |
Dartmouth |
3 |
17 |
UNC |
5 |
20 |
James Madison |
7 |
5 |
Stony Brook |
9 |
12 |
Florida |
10 |
7 |
UMass |
11 |
15 |
Northwestern |
15 |
13 |
Denver |
30 |
62 |
High Point |
36 |
8 |
Monmouth |
37 |
64 |
Jacksonville |
51 |
88 |
Mount St. Mary's |
55 |
107 |
Mercer |
75 |
111 |
Loyola has the top rated RPI and strength of schedule with four of its five wins against top-20 opponents in the RPI … USC would have been in line for a hosting bid on its current pace … Dartmouth would have had a great opportunity in the Ivy League to surge into the top five.
North Carolina is fifth in the RPI and surely would have screamed to the top with its firepower, so in spite of its “low” RPI, the Tar Heels are still the top overall seed … JMU was unable to overcome UNC in its early season showdown but looms as one of the squads fighting for a hosting bid … Stony Brook has again made a case for a top-five seed. The Seawolves get the four spot due to its season opening win over Syracuse.
Florida was able to grab an early win at Maryland, but fell to Loyola and Dartmouth, which means the Gators are on the road to open the tournament … UMass got that early season win over a reorganizing Boston College side. Would the Minutewomen avenge the past two A-10 finals against the Spiders? We project yes, but we’ll never know … Northwestern garners the Big Ten auto bid despite its lower-than-anticipated RPI based on Maryland’s early season stumbles and Michigan’s weak opening non-conference schedule.
The Big East would have been an interesting race this season, as Denver was the highest RPI team at No. 30 nearly halfway through the regular season, thus earning the auto bid over Georgetown (No. 38) … Yes, High Point is 1-4, but they’re still the strongest team in the Big South, which would have shown out in the duration of the season … Monmouth is the MAAC’s representative and slated to host a play-in game.
Jacksonville has a low RPI at 51, but the Dolphins are the class of the Atlantic Sun and had chances for big time wins later in the season against the likes of Princeton, Dartmouth, Florida and USC … Mount St. Mary’s finally gets its NEC crown, and its poor strength of schedule puts the Mountaineers on the road to former NEC foe Monmouth … Mercer is again the SoCon champ and again on the road for the play-in game.