The three-game losing streak, against Denver, Hofstra and Richmond, had poor shooting written all over them.
Against No. 5 Denver, the Tar Heels squandered a contest in which the Pioneers managed just 21 shots and committed 16 turnovers. On a day when faceoff specialist extraordinaire Trevor Baptiste did not dominate the draw, Carolina returned the favor by shooting 6-for-28.
Carolina barely showed up to face Hofstra, as the Pride, now ranked No. 13, scored the game’s first eight goals, shut out the Heels in the first half and led, 10-1, in the third quarter. Carolina lost 13 of 20 faceoff attempts. Its shooters offered little help by putting up a 6-for-27 stinker.
The Richmond loss completed a three-game showing the Tar Heels are trying to forget. They made just 23.4 percent of their combined 94 attempts and put only 51 shots on goal during the losing streak.
“When you’re in one of these slumps, you start trying to pick the right spot,” Anderson said. “You start thinking you can’t miss this next shot. When you release it, you’re thinking that it’s got to go in.”
With the schedule ramping up, it’s time for the Tar Heels to get healthier and plug some holes for the regular-season stretch run. After Maryland, UNC will face ACC opponents on four straight weekends, with the conference tournament to follow.
There is plenty to work on. The Tar Heels, who hope to get Timmy Kelly, junior faceoff specialist Charles Kelly and freshman midfielders Sean Morris and Colin Munro (four straight misses) off of the injured list soon, have experienced an uneven ride so far in 2018.
That was not unexpected, not a year after Carolina lost a deep senior class that featured nine players who gobbled up starting roles or significant minutes — led by attackman Luke Goldstock, defenseman Austin Pifani, faceoff man Stephen Kelly and goalie Brian Balkam.
It didn’t help that, three games into this season, the Heels lost veteran defenseman Joe Kenna to a season-ending injury or promising freshman goalie Luke Millican to a concussion, from which he has yet to return.
While the Tar Heels were getting out to a 6-0 start, the signs of a young team in search of an identity were there. With an unsteady defense and faceoff game, UNC squeaked by much-improved Furman and Lehigh in overtime to get to 3-0.
At Johns Hopkins on Feb. 23, sophomore goalie Jack Pezzula made 13 saves and the Tar Heels overcame dominant Hopkins faceoff man Hunter Moreland (18-for-27) by playing efficient offense. Led by Timmy Kelly’s four goals and a hat trick by sophomore midfielder Tanner Cook, the Heels converted three of four extra-man chances and left Homewood Field with a 13-11 victory.
A 14-7 rout over Mercer followed. Next up was a 9-8 squeaker over St. John’s that provided a glimpse of what was to come. The Tar Heels took a 7-5 lead at half then proceeded to miss 20 of 22 shots in the second half. UNC ended up taking 45 shots, converting only 20 percent of them.
During the losing streak, the Tar Heels have taken excellent care of the ball, but they’ve also been out-worked. In the losses to the Pioneers and Hofstra, Carolina lost the ground battle by a combined 25.
“The biggest area of improvement [needed] I think is in the middle of the field,” said senior defensive midfielder and co-captain William McBride. “Whether it’s off the faceoff wings or giving our offense a better chance by picking up more ground balls to get them going, we have to be tighter there.”
The Tar Heels are winning nearly 50 percent of their faceoffs. The defense is allowing 9.5 goals in the past five games. Carolina goalies have produced barely nine saves per game this season.
None of those totals are stellar, but under Breschi, the Tar Heels have been built to get by without a suffocating defense or an All-American goalie. But the number that simply must improve substantially? The Tar Heels are shooting 30 percent as a team, which ranks 34th nationally and is pedestrian by Carolina standards.
Ever since Breschi arrived to coach at his alma mater, the Tar Heels have never missed an NCAA tournament, largely because UNC has rolled out a stable of good shooters that set the tone for an up-tempo offense.
When the Tar Heels regrouped with an 8-6 record and ran off four wins in a row to win the school’s fifth NCAA title in 2016, they did it with an offense that ended up ranked 10th in Division I in shooting percentage (.326).
A year ago, when the Tar Heels staggered through parts of the regular season and barely qualified for the NCAAs by winning the ACC tournament — only to finish the year at 8-8 by losing to Albany in the first round — UNC’s shooters finished at 28.9 percent, 33rd in Division I.
At the midpoint of the 2018 season, the Tar Heels are growing with a young defense and inconsistent showings at goalie and in the faceoff game. But they are still good enough to make a run, as long as their shooters find their touch once again.
Cloutier, the senior and MVP of the NCAA tournament in 2016 and the ACC tournament last year, remains formidable with 23 goals, but needs to raise his game (30.7 percent shooting). Junior attackman Andy Matthews (four goals, 17 assists) is a great feeder who needs to shoot more. Kelly (13 G) might have his best games ahead of him.
Perry, Cook and Anderson could be the first midfield of the future and present. They’ve combined for 37 goals and 51 points, but are shooting a collective, 27.6 percent.
“Some of [the shooting problems] are because we’re taking ill-advised shots. Some of it has been a hot goalie. Some of it is just us missing open looks,” Metzbower said. “We were shooting close to 40 percent going into the Hopkins game. The drop-off has taken a toll on our offense.
“The teams that tend not to stay in slumps are the teams that grind things out,” he adds. “I have a lot of people in the stable. They don’t have time to worry about woulda, coulda, shoulda. I would like to avoid these predicaments. They’ve got to work their way out of this.”