The Case For Penn State
Doherty’s teams have shown steady improvement since her arrival in Happy Valley. Penn State has supplemented dynamic players like Carter and O’Donnell with productive scorers. The Nittany Lions return 67 percent of their offense and six of their top eight scorers.
The Case Against Penn State
Penn State’s inexperience on defense — just one full-time defensive starter (senior Lucy Haubold) remains from 2017 — is disconcerting. There’s also a void in goal. Sophomore Madison Cunningham has just one career start. That greenness will be tough to overcome while navigating a tough schedule that features high-scoring teams like Stony Brook and Maryland.
Path to the Playoffs
Doherty has once again set her team up to succeed with chances to pick up high-quality wins in addition to the always-tough Big Ten slate. Early season tests against Towson, Cornell, Loyola, James Madison and Albany are good segues into the meat of the schedule.
By mid-March, Penn State should have its identity on defense and be ready for Big Ten play and its toughest non-conference matchups. A seven-game stretch from mid-March to late April features six teams that finished in the top 18 in last year’s RPI including Maryland (1), Princeton (3) and Stony Brook (6).
A set of positive results could garner another hosting opportunity in the NCAA tournament. Penn State hasn’t lost a home game in the NCAA tournament since 2005, and both of its NCAA semifinal appearances were achieved with wins in Happy Valley the week prior.
Players To Watch
Madison Carter, A, Jr.
70 G, 130 DC
Carter could be the Tewaaraton Award winner this season, she’s that good. It will be difficult to top last year’s 70-goal season, but her impact goes beyond scoring. Taking down draw controls and earning possession for her team makes the offense click, which includes frequent trips to the 8-meter (41 attempts in 2017).
Katie O’Donnell, A, Sr.
65 G, 21 CT
O’Donnell’s numbers have improved every season, and it’s reasonable to think she could eclipse the 70 goals her teammate Madison Carter put up last season. A tremendous leader and do-it-all player, O’Donnell wills her team to victories with crucial late goals. O’Donnell is on pace to be Penn State’s first career 200-goal scorer in nearly 30 years, as she’s just 58 tallies away.
Maggie Gallagher, M, Sr.
39 PTS, 33 DC
A prime candidate to be the team’s facilitator, Gallagher is the team’s third-leading scorer returning from last year after posting career highs in goals (23) and assists (16). Gallagher has improved every year and last season she tripled her goal scoring and assists from sophomore year to junior year. Expect the senior midfielder to play a vital role.
National Rankings
Category
|
Rank
|
Value
|
Offense |
18th |
14.43 GPG |
Defense |
36th |
10.81 GAA |
Draws |
17th |
14.48/game |
Ground Balls |
56th |
18.00/game |
Caused TO |
67th |
8.57/game |
Shooting |
37th |
43.9% |
FP Shooting |
90th |
36.7% |
Yellow Cards |
65th |
27 |
Assists |
32nd |
5.90/game |
Turnovers |
11th |
14.38/game |
Shots |
17th |
32.86/game |
Power Ratings (Scale of 1-5)
Offense
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Defense
⭐⭐⭐
Goalkeeping
⭐⭐
Draw
⭐⭐⭐⭐
180
Free-position attempts. Penn State had the second most free-position shots in all of NCAA Division I last season. The Nittany Lions drive hard to the net and create mismatches quite often. Penn State cashed in on 66 of those 180 chances last year (36.7 percent). If there’s improvement in this aspect of the game, Penn State will be hard to keep up with.
5-Year Trend
Scoring Offense
Year
|
Rank
|
GPG
|
2013 |
14th |
13.0 |
2014 |
15th |
13.1 |
2015 |
11th |
13.3 |
2016 |
12th |
12.8 |
2017 |
18th |
14.4 |
Coach Confidential
Missy Doherty
“As a coach, what I’m most curious about myself is who is going to emerge and who is really going to step up in our closest games. Every year I feel like we’re somewhat of an underestimated team in polls and lists. As long as we continue to perform, I’ll take it.”
Enemy Lines
Rival Coaches
“Does their attack find its balance without Lazo? … Penn State has strong drivers who are determined to get to goal, but can opponents shut them down 1v1? … Return two big-time midfielders in Katie O’Donnell and Madison Carter. ... Good energy and teamwork coming out of Happy Valley. ... They have their twin towers in O’Donnell and Carter. Such physical and tough competitors. ... Penn State just goes hard at you all the time. ... They are fast and athletic, and they have confidence. They don’t have a lot of weaknesses. This could be a big year for them.”