The Case For Navy
Navy brings back all but two starters – and one of them didn’t play in their final four game – from last year’s team that was clicking by season’s end. The Midshipmen got a taste of success, and that fueled a tremendous offseason. Add in some dynamic recruits, and the offense won’t miss a beat, the draw control is solid and the defense is largely intact.
Navy has a confidence and belief in itself that wasn’t there before last year. They have a core that knows how to win the big games and will be looking to return to the final four.
The Case Against Navy
One great run does not a trend make. Navy isn’t going to be considered among the nation’s best until they prove they can regularly knock off ranked opponents. Navy’s NCAA tournament first-round win over then-No. 7 Penn was its first-ever win over a nationally ranked opponent.
For the program to take the next step, Navy has to be able to beat some of its top tier opponents Ohio State, Boston College, Florida, Virginia and Loyola. Navy’s offense hasn’t been as high-powered against top echelon teams as it was in its NCAA tournament run, and unless that changes the Midshipmen aren’t quite to that level.
Path to the Playoffs
Navy will host Loyola on April 7 in a matchup of the two most dominant Patriot League teams. Between them, they have won the last eight Patriot championships, four straight by Navy, then three straight by Loyola before Navy knocked it off in last year’s final.
Barring an upset, the two will likely meet then in the Patriot League tournament final May 6. Topping Loyola for the title after regular-season wins over ranked teams could have Navy soaring into the NCAA tournament. With last year’s experience and a new drive, it’s possible it could duplicate a final four run.
Players To Watch
Kelly Larkin, A, So.
54 G, 54 A
Don’t expect a sophomore slump for Larkin, who improved every game on her way to a Navy record for points by a freshman. Acclaimed as the top freshman in the country, she had hat tricks in every NCAA game. She bolsters the offense with her scoring and playmaking.
Jenna Collins, M, Sr.
114 PTS, 76 DC
The reigning Patriot League Midfielder of the Year has been doing a little of everything for the Midshipmen throughout her career. Last year, she was in their top five in goals, shots, shots on goal, assists, draw controls, free position goals, caused turnovers and ground balls. None of that will change in her final season.
Blake Smith, D, Sr.
38 CT, 42 GB
Navy’s top returning defender set a single-season record for caused turnovers last year. The first-team All-Patriot selection will be a disruptive force on defense. She has made great strides each year for the Midshipmen, and will anchor a defense that graduated Meghan Hubley.
National Rankings
Category
|
Rank
|
Value
|
Offense |
8th |
15.57 GPG |
Defense |
21st |
9.83 GAA |
Draws |
3rd |
15.83/game |
Ground Balls |
30th |
19.70/game |
Caused TO |
47th |
9.39/game |
Shooting |
29th |
44.5% |
FP Shooting |
45th |
44.0% |
Yellow Cards |
35th |
32.0/game |
Assists |
5th |
8.13/game |
Turnovers |
5th |
13.65/game |
Shots |
7th |
35.00/game |
Power Ratings (Scale of 1-5)
Offense
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Defense
⭐⭐⭐
Goalkeeping
⭐⭐
Draw
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
84.6
Navy returns almost 85 percent of the scoring from the nation’s eighth-best offense. It will go to its depth to replace Morgan Young, who accounted for 53 goals and 26 assists. The Midshipmen have the firepower back to stay among the most potent offenses in the country.
5-Year Trend
Scoring Defense
Year
|
Rank
|
Per Game
|
2013 |
3rd |
7.43 |
2014 |
3rd |
6.53 |
2015 |
10th |
7.75 |
2016 |
29th |
8.53 |
2017 |
21st |
9.83 |
Coach Confidential
Cindy Timchal
“The little things make a difference, not one big thing. Everybody wants that one magical thing. Sometimes people will attribute something, like this is when this happened. I think when you focus on all the little things that really do make a big difference, that’s where our focus is and on ourselves.”
Enemy Lines
Rival Coaches
“Fast and athletic and confident. ... A team that plays very well together. Can that chemistry continue this season with most of their starters returning? ... Cindy has things rolling at Navy after going to the final four last year. They should be able to have another special season. ... Will bring in a lot of confidence from the final four run. Lost some sizzle at end of year, but will be back and better. ... Final four team with many returners. ... Tough and gritty team that returns some high-flying goal scorers. The Midshipmen will be confident after their impressive final four run in 2017. ... They play with so much resiliency and competitiveness, which is great since they’re defending our country. Larkin is the real deal. She and the twins, those three are high-level players. They don’t play a competitive schedule, and I think that holds them back.”