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Baptiste leads Denver to another final four.
Denver coach Bill Tierney has his Pioneers in their eighth straight NCAA tournament and fourth final four in the past five years. This program is now used to being on this stage, and it won’t be scared of an equally decorated Maryland team on Saturday.
The major story for Denver, as it has been the entire season, is the play of faceoff man Trevor Baptiste. Baptiste was great last season, but he’s taken his play to another level in 2017, specifically in the NCAA tournament. Just let this stat linger for a second: In the NCAA tournament, Baptiste has won 44 of 49 faceoffs, including a 21-for-22 performance in the NCAA quarterfinal win over Notre Dame. He’s not only the best faceoff man in the country — he’s one of the best in the history of college lacrosse. He had a shot at breaking Mark Goers’ faceoff winning percentage record of .773 at points this season.
Baptiste will be mentioned later in this preview, but he’ll be a huge factor in determining whether Denver will reach the pinnacle of lacrosse for the second time in three years.
It’s been 42 years and the pressure won’t go away for the Terps.
On the other side of this storied matchup is Maryland, which is still looking for its fist NCAA championship since 1975. If you look at the stats above, it will show just how close the Terps have gotten, and just how few times they have pushed through to win it all.
Last season, Maryland had a glorious chance to capture the title, but it ran into an unseeded North Carolina team that seemed destined to win it all. It took overtime, but the Tar Heels made it another year without a championship.
Now, John Tillman and his squad is back to the final four for the sixth time in seven years — a stretch that includes four championship game appearances. It must be mentioned that Denver won its lone championship with a 10-5 win over Maryland. Both teams are different than two years ago, but the matchup has already seen its fair share of high-profile games.
Led by star Matt Rambo, Maryland answered critics by dismantling a surging Albany team in the quarterfinals.
Strengths
It’s simple —more possessions equals more chances for Denver.
It’s not Denver’s only strength, but Trevor Baptiste must top the list. He’s on a historic stretch that has helped this Denver offense become one of the most efficient and powerful in the game. He’s shown the ability to completely take over games, like when he came out of halftime against Air Force to go coast-to-coast for two goals in the first four minutes of the second half. That fueled Denver’s blowout win.
With the Pioneers’ slow, methodical offense, Baptiste’s dominance means his team controls time of possession. If Maryland can’t cut into Baptiste’s totals, Denver can have a tight grip on this game.
“They do such a good job of being patient on offense,” Tillman said. “You’re weary of, if they’re winning a lot of faceoffs, every time down is a 90-second, a two-minute possession, the quarters disappear quickly and the guys get run down. The are very patient and methodical when they get into their sets and they're very good at waiting for the shot that they want. We have to be really buttoned up and disciplined defensively.”
But once Baptiste gets the ball, he’s got plenty of options that he can trust. Remember 2016 Tewaaraton finalist Connor Cannizzaro? He’s flown under the radar in part because of his teammate, but he’s second on the team with 65 points on 41 goals and 24 assists. Also of note, he played for the Terps during his freshman year before transferring to Denver. Freshman Ethan Walker leads the way with 70 points.
Denver boasts eight different players with points in the double digits, showing off some impressive depth. And the Pioneers are efficient, as well, with a shot percentage of 34.7, good for fifth in the country.
Rambo leads a deep Maryland attack.
Much like Denver, Maryland’s offense, although deeper than most in the nation, seems to tick by one player. That’s Matt Rambo, who has turned his game to another level in the postseason. Maryland’s all-time leading scorer, he’s reached a career-high eight points in both of his NCAA tournament games. He scored twice and added six assists in the win over Byrant and was all over the field with four goals and four assists in the dominant win over Albany.
“If you want to name the top 5 players you’ve ever seen, he reminds me of all of them,” Tierney said of Rambo. “The guy can dodge, he can shoot, he can feed, he can ride, he’s a great kid. He’s a special, special player. … There’s nothing this guy can’t do and the idea is not to stop him, but keep his numbers at a minimum.”
Rambo has helped boost the level of the Maryland offense with his hot streak, helping midfielder Tim Rotanz drop five goals on Bryant and Connor Kelly do the same to Albany. There aren’t many offenses that could have one of a handful of players (if you add Colin Heacock, Dylan Maltz, Jared Bernhardt) go off for five goals in an NCAA tournament. Even though Rambo leads the way, Maryland has one of the most balanced attacks in the country. And just like the Pioneers, the Terps make the most of their possessions, leading the country with a 35.9 shot percentage.
Let's not forget the defense, which has allowed just 7.8 goals per game since a loss to Ohio State on April 22. Much of that efficiency comes on the stick of goalie Dan Morris, who sits 13th in the country with a 54.5 save percentage.
“Dan Morris has played great in the goal,” Tierney said. “He’s not only stopping shots, but he’s making it easier to get in transition and get up and out. … We’re trying to prepare for it all.”
Weaknesses
Is the Pioneers' defense solid enough to compete against Maryland?
Although Tierney will argue it has improved mightily toward the end of the season, Denver’s defense struggled through injuries for much of the season. Although its goals per game total looks impressive on the surface, the Pioneers allowed 10.5 goals per game to teams that made the NCAA tournament field.
It’s hard to blame Tierney and defensive coordinator John Orsen, who have had to deal with injuries to starters like sophomores Dylan Johnson and Dylan Gaines, who both went down during the Ohio State game. Since then, defensemen like Jake Nolan and Matt Jones have stepped up to steady the Denver defense.
However, with All-American Christian Burgdorf at close defense, it’s tough to look past this team. Burgdorf, Nolan and Gaines will make up the unit against Maryland, and Tierney likes his chances.
“As much as it hurt in the middle of the year to have those guys out, we really feel we’re experimental and solid and have a bunch of guys that can play,” he said. “… “At this time of the year, if you’re not playing defense, you’re not in the final four. We feel very good about the young guys that are playing.”
Can Maryland get over the championship hump?
Before we dive into the aspects of the game that Denver could exploit, it’s worth mentioning Maryland’s challenges to win a championship. As much as Tillman and his team can turn the switch to the next season after falling short, the storyline is there and each loss adds more pressure to Maryland to finally break through.
“We feel like you get experience from being there, but each year is different just because your team is different,” Tillman said. “Your strengths, your weaknesses, your parts and all that. … We certainly have put ourselves in position to get to Monday and haven’t quite finished. There were some teams in the way that were a big reason for that. More than anything else, staying true to what has worked for us this year.”
Inside the lines, Maryland has struggled to find consistency in the faceoff game. The combination of Austin Henningsen, Jon Garino and Will Bonaparte has won less than 50 percent of its faceoffs this season, good for 34th in the country. It certainly puts more pressure of the Maryland offense to produce, which it has for most of the season.
Whether it’s Garino, Henningsen or Bonparte taking on Baptiste on Saturday, it will be an uphill battle.