The Case For Northwestern
With 10 of 12 players back, a veteran Northwestern team will be ready for its difficult schedule, which features nine of its first 10 games at home. The Wildcats will be able to control the pace of play with a strong draw control game led by Fredericks, a strong offense led by the likes of Lasota and Stroup and an experienced defense.
If Northwestern can get on a roll in February and March, it will carry that confidence into the heart of the season and through conference play. That can yield the team’s first top two finish in the Big Ten and translate that into an NCAA semifinal appearance.
The Case Against Northwestern
A difficult schedule could conspire against the Wildcats. They might have a tough time stringing together a winning streak and build the necessary confidence to go on a deep tournament run.
Not all is lost in this scenario, because Northwestern should still able to finish at least third in the Big Ten, which will translate in their 15th straight NCAA tournament appearance. Once there, a battle-tested team can find a way to win a couple games.
Path to the Playoffs
There are five teams on the slate that made it to the NCAA quarterfinals last year. Because of the difficulty of the schedule, the margin is greater, because the losses won’t harm the Wildcats’ top seed chances. Additionally, they reside in a conference that is home to the only two teams (Maryland, Penn State) to have reached the past two NCAA semifinals.
Northwestern’s schedule sets them up earn a top seed, hosting rights and pave a path to the program’s first championship weekend appearance since 2014.
Players To Watch
Shelby Fredericks, M, Sr.
(165 DC, 25 A)
A dynamic player who can control the momentum of a game, Fredericks has the tools to lead her team to a successful season. Her dominance on the draw and improve offensive ability have the chance to propel her into a Tewaaraton discussion.
Selena Lasota, A, Jr.
50 G, 48 DC (2016)
After a breakout freshman season (69 goals) and a solid sophomore campaign (50 goals), Lasota was set up for a special junior year. Can she bounce back from her injury to be the impact player she was before?
Claire Quinn, M/D, Sr.
45 GB, 36 CT
It’s not often an All-American defender has a four-goal game in the NCAA tournament, but that’s because she was transitioned to the midfield late in the year. If her transition continues in 2018, expect this aggressive player (team-high 36 caused turnovers and 13 yellow cards in 2017) to create problems for opposing teams on the clear and in offensive sets.
National Rankings
Category
|
Rank
|
Value
|
Offense |
79th |
10.71 GPG |
Defense |
34th |
10.67 GAA |
Draws |
28th |
13.95/game |
Ground Balls |
78th |
16.95/game |
Caused TO |
92nd |
7.67/game |
Shooting |
105th |
36.2% |
FP Shooting |
88th |
36.8% |
Yellow Cards |
1st |
56 |
Assists |
75th |
4.38/game |
Turnovers |
27th |
15.67/game |
Shots |
40th |
29.57/game |
Power Ratings (Scale of 1-5)
Offense
⭐⭐⭐
Defense
⭐⭐⭐⭐
Goalkeeping
⭐⭐⭐
Draw
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
8
The number of Division I teams that had fewer draw controls than Shelby Fredricks (165) in 2017.
5-Year Trend
Scoring Defense
Year
|
Rank
|
Per Game
|
2013 |
7th |
8.05 |
2014 |
19th |
8.43 |
2015 |
49th |
10.10 |
2016 |
60th |
10.43 |
2017 |
34th |
10.67 |
Coach Confidential
Kelly Amonte Hiller
“You only get 17 opportunities to play a game. When I look at it as a player, you get so excited about those opportunities to battle and fight through difficult situations. That’s how you really grow. You’re definitely taking a chance you could lose some games, but I think you’re also creating a scenario where you’re putting yourself up against the best and know that you can compete with anyone on any given day.”
Enemy Lines
Rival Coaches
“Big loss on the attack with Esposito graduating. Can Lasota dominate? ... If Lasota is healthy, watch out. If not, could be a long season. ... Return a powerful senior class, bring in a very talented freshman class. They looked very strong despite missing some key players in the fall. ... Goalie position is a question mark. ... They had some injuries that set them back last year, but they’ve also got some good freshmen coming into the mix. ... That big class they brought in are all seniors now. They have a culture of winning and I think they’re ready to make a pretty significant move. There’s plenty of talent there and the next couple of classes they’re bringing in will help. ... They have something to prove. They definitely will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. Selena Lasota’s back. They have some dangerous players. They have talent, but it’s a matter of putting it together. ... They have a good goalie. I don’t think she’s played up to her potential. She’s really good. They’re always a tough team to play. They’re very physical. They have some great plays and great stickwork. If you make a mistake, they make you pay for it. You have to play clean against them. ... They’re going to be really good this year with Lasota coming back from injury. If they’re healthy, they’re one of the best in the country.”