It turns out the tail end of the top 20 is a good place to project teams that either didn’t play any Division I opponents last season or a couple who were confined to conference play and suffered frustrating seasons. Oh, and also one of the best stories from the spring of 2021 — one that could very easily match or exceed its accomplishments from the pandemic-impacted season.
20. CORNELL
2021 record: 0-0
Last seen: Running its record to 5-0 on March 8, 2020, with an 18-17 defeat of Grant Ament and Penn State.
Initial forecast: Really … who knows? Right? By the time late February rolls around, the Ivy League will have been out of sight for nearly two full years (aside from Brown, Dartmouth and Penn playing a game apiece late last season). It makes evaluation at this stage incredibly difficult, other than pointing out the obvious. In the Big Red’s case, that means noting the likes of Jeff Teat and Jonathan Donville are gone, along with three other starters from the 2020 team. It also requires pointing out a coaching transition occurred in the spring of 2020, with former Big Red star Connor Buczek entering his second year but first season in charge in Ithaca. The last we saw of Cornell, it was a delightfully high-scoring team that took the approach that if it gave up 16 goals, it would simply score 17. Plenty of key defensive personnel is still in place, older and presumably stronger. John Piatelli (20 goals, three assists in 2020) and Michael Long (11 goals, eight assists in 2020) are a solid foundation on offense, but there isn’t much to go on to make a projection at this point. There could be a wide range of outcomes, from average to Ivy League title threat (and this goes for the likes of Brown and Princeton, too, who are otherwise unmentioned in this exercise).
19. OHIO STATE
2021 record: 4-7 (4-6 Big Ten)
Last seen: Getting handled by Michigan 15-11 in Columbus in the Big Ten quarterfinal to close out a strange season on a three-game skid.
Initial forecast: It was challenging under pandemic conditions for any team to get traction for an extended period of time. Ohio State couldn’t pull it off, aside from a three-game stretch with victories sandwiched around a one-goal setback at Rutgers. That got the Buckeyes to 4-4, and they wouldn’t win again. Now, some of the personalities that have played large roles in coach Nick Myers’ program seemingly forever — Ryan Terefenko, Tre Leclaire and Jeff Henrick — have exhausted their eligibility. Ohio State still has proven scorers in Jack Myers (34 goals, 11 assists) and Jackson Reid (15 goals, 11 assists), still has a take-on-all-comers faceoff man in Justin Inacio (.551) and still has a program ethos of toughness. But they weren’t statistically superb at anything, and a team save percentage of .423 was a major liability. North Carolina transfer Caton Johnson could help immediately in the cage. The last two times Ohio State had a losing season, it proceeded to make the NCAA quarterfinals (2015) and the national title game (2017). Maybe there’s a similar response in the offing, but for now, the Buckeyes have plenty to prove.