10. FLORIDA
2021 record: 18-3 (10-0 AAC)
Last seen: Falling short against an offensively potent Syracuse in the NCAA quarterfinals.
Initial forecast: Florida always seems to be on the cusp of a Final Four run. It was there last year, as the Gators ran roughshod over their AAC foes. Outside of losses to North Carolina and Jacksonville, the Gators were rarely challenged last spring — and perhaps that was part of the problem as the NCAA tournament progressed. Much of what comprised the most recent Florida core are gone, like program staples Shannon Kavanagh and Brianna Harris. That young core that’s been honing its craft in their shadow is now firmly in the spotlight, ready for the challenge. Danielle Pavinelli, Emily Heller, Ashley Gonzalez and Paisley Eagan are the likely starters in the midfield, with Maggi Hall leading the attack as a sophomore. Defensively, the conversation centers on Sarah Reznick, arguably the top keeper in the nation. The redshirt-sophomore saved 56.7 percent of shots faced last season and will be a key to the Gators’ season.
9. DUKE
2021 record: 11-8 (4-6 ACC)
Last seen: Two NCAA tournament wins were potentially overshadowed by a 22-10 throttling at the hands of Northwestern in the NCAA quarterfinals.
Initial forecast: The Blue Devils re-established themselves as an ACC team capable of doing some damage last spring, even taking North Carolina and Boston College to the brink on separate occasions. There’s a lot of continuity in Durham, though one notable loss is Gabby Rosenzweig, who transferred in as a grad in 2021 and brought leadership and a game-breaking ability to the attack. But now there’s leadership ready to take her place, as five graduate students, eight seniors and two redshirt-juniors bring plenty of experience. Even without Rosenzweig and Catherine Cordrey (both 20-plus goal scorers), Duke will have plenty of firepower. All of it starts with Maddie Jenner (187 draw controls) on the draw, where it’s rare to see her lose a 1-v-1 battle. Duke does an incredible job spreading the ball around once it gets possession, evidenced by the goals totals of their returning top scorers — Katie Cronin (30 goals), Katie DeSimone (25 goals), Catriona Barry (27 goals), Olivia Carner (30 goals), Caroline DeBellis (24 goals) and Abby Landry (21 goals).