5. MARYLAND
2020 record: 5-1
Last seen: Fending off Albany 14-13 and getting ready to contend with Virginia in a rematch of a 2019 NCAA quarterfinal.
Initial forecast: It’s always to safe to bank on the Terrapins to hover around the top five, even when they have to contend with the departure of a star or two. Jared Bernhardt’s presumed exit deprives Maryland of one of the sport’s best offensive talents, but the Terps could very well withstand his loss. Logan Wisnauskas (24 goals, 12 assists), Anthony DeMaio (10 goals, 11 assists), Daniel Maltz (12 goals, six assists) and Bubba Fairman (five goals, six assists) are all expected back. Toss in Griffin Brown (21 goals, five assists at Colgate) and Eric Holden (20 goals, seven assists at Hobart) as graduate transfers, and Maryland is loaded on offense. Defense was the problem last year, with five of the Terps’ opponents reaching 12 goals, and coach John Tillman made a rare in-season goalie switch, turning to freshman Logan McNaney after four games. Opponents shot better than 30 percent against Maryland, and tightening that up will probably be the difference between simply being solid and contending for a national title.
4. PENN STATE
2020 record: 5-2
Last seen: Bouncing back from a one-goal loss to Cornell by dispatching Furman 22-7 in the final game of a spring break southern swing.
Initial forecast: The Nittany Lions weren’t quite the juggernaut so many expected them to be in 2020, losing to Yale, needing overtime to win at Penn and then falling to Cornell in a three-game stretch just before the season was disrupted. Now Grant Ament (13 goals, 31 assists) is in the PLL, and it’s fair to wonder what losing such a central figure will do to Jeff Tambroni’s team. On the bright side for the Nittany Lions, everyone else among their top seven scorers returns (including finisher Mac O’Keefe), as is the starting close defense, faceoff man Gerard Arceri (.549) and goalie Colby Kneese (.517 save percentage). There will be an interesting dynamic at play here: There are still a lot of the stars from the 2019 team hungry to get back to the Memorial Day weekend stage, but there probably won’t be as much attention initially placed on Penn State since it was neither undefeated in 2020 nor particularly active on the transfer front. The Nittany Lions will still be a force, especially at the offensive end.