17. PENN
2023 record: 7-6 (4-2 Ivy)
Last seen: Losing a taut Ivy League semifinal 9-8 to Princeton, then watching over the next two days as its NCAA tournament hopes crumbled when Michigan and Princeton snagged automatic berths and squeezed the Quakers (and Denver) from the postseason field.
Initial forecast: Life after Sam Handley (and Piper Bond and BJ Farrare, among others) has arrived for the Quakers. Without Handley, Penn won’t have a singular player who will command attention quite like the star midfielder did in his time in Philadelphia, but that doesn’t mean Penn is suddenly going to collapse as a program. There are established players across the roster with eligibility remaining, including Ben Smith (27 G, 7 A) and Cam Rubin (24 G, 7 A) on offense and goalie Emmet Carroll (.549 save percentage) in the cage. Penn could use a boost in its specialty units; both man-up (.310, 51st nationally) and man-down (.587, 54th) ranked in the bottom third of Division I. Improving a .452 faceoff percentage would help, too, which is why Virginia transfer Mac Eldridge (who played sparingly last season behind the indefatigable Petey LaSalla) could be one of the biggest portal additions of the season.
16. PRINCETON
2023 record: 8-7 (4-2 Ivy)
Last seen: Running out of May magic in the second half of a 13-12 loss to Penn State in the first round of the NCAA tournament.
Starts lost: 74 of 150 (49.3 percent)
Scoring departing: 164 of 341 points (48.1 percent)
Initial forecast: The Tigers had plenty of scrutiny after their 2022 final four run, then hovered around .500 before winning the Ivy League tournament. But a funny thing happened to a team that had plenty of known quantities on offense: Its defense turned out to be more consistent than a year earlier. That group — led by defenseman Pace Billings and goalie Michael Gianforcaro (.577 save percentage) — will likely be leaned upon as the Tigers figure out just how their offense will look beyond attackman Coulter Mackesy (55 G, 23 A). Princeton loses a lot of punch with Ivy League rules forcing Sam English, Christian Ronda, Alex Slusher, Jake Stevens and Alexander Vardaro to spend a graduate season elsewhere. Still, there are some interesting options among guys who got some starting experience in 2023: Tommy Barnds (8 G, 7 A), Sean Cameron (16 G, 5 A), Jack Ringhofer (7 G, 1 A), Braedon Saris (6 G, 11 A in five games) and Lukas Stanat (10 G, 10 A). A little more continuity on offense could help the Tigers, who won’t be Ivy favorites but shouldn’t be forgotten about despite the graduation losses.